Publications

17.09.2015. A Eurasian Solution for Europe’s Crises
  MOSCOW – More than 18 months after former President Viktor Yanukovych was driven from power (and into exile), the crisis in Ukraine is at a stalemate. Crimea has been reabsorbed by Russia (in what many consider an annexation); much of eastern Ukraine is held by pro-Russia rebels; and relations between the West and Russia are more tense than at any time since...

03.06.2015. A 21st Century Vienna Concert
The year 2015 is a year of many jubilees – 70 years since the Great Victory and the end of the Second World War; 25 years since the fall of the Berlin Wall and the subsequent unification of Germany; and 40 years since the signing of the Helsinki Final Act and the subsequent creation of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. These events have overshadowed the glorious jubilee – the 200th anniversary of the victory over Napoleon in the European war and...

24.05.2015. Eurasian Way Out of the European Crisis
I have already written before that having emerged from the Cold War, Europe lost the post-war peace. The continent is on the verge of strategic degradation that may either become a caricature of military-political division into opposing blocs or a time of disquieting uncertainty. The military-political conflict over Ukraine can escalate as well. Europe is sinking into an internal crisis as its 500-year global dominance is drawing to an end. Following the end of the two-bloc period...

20.02.2015. Europe: A Defeat at the Hands of Victory?
Having won the Cold War (perhaps largely due to the courage of the Russian people who threw off a communist dictatorship and were prepared to take risks), Europe seems to be losing the peace. The region is entering the next stage of international relations disunited and weakened, and poised for a confrontation or maybe even a large-scale...

06.02.2015. A Turn to the East: Results and Objectives
A new center of economic development will emerge in Central Eurasia The long-term deterioration of relations with the West, hopefully less dramatic in the future than now, and the need for restructuring foreign economic relations, largely malformed during the years of disintegration and chaotic attempts to restore them, make the partial economic turn to the East all the more necessary. The turn has started and it should be expanded. Those of us who for years tried to prove the...

16.01.2015. The Watershed Year: Interim Results
A Chance for a Fundamental Renewal The year 2014 is likely to go down in the history of Russia as a time when its foreign policy course was tightened and its internal and economic policy guidelines started to change. The former was almost inevitable. It is a risky move but it may potentially be beneficial for both the country and the world. The change in the tone and essence of relations with the West, its reaction and sanctions may prod Russian elites into focusing on...

01.12.2014. 2014: INTERIM RESULTS
The year 2014 will likely to go down in the history of Russia as a time when its foreign policy course was hardened and its internal and economic policy guidelines started to change.   Russian Motives The main reason for Russia’s turn is the West’s refusal to...

15.09.2014. Western delusions triggered this conflict and Russians will not yield
The west is without direction and losing sight of moral convictions, writes Sergey Karaganov The Soviet Union’s sunset years hardly felt like an innocent age to those who lived through them, but to recall the hopes and aspirations of that era is to rue the naiveties of those days. “A common European house” was how President Mikhail Gorbachev pictured the continent’s future; “a Europe whole and free”, in the words of George HW Bush, his...

04.09.2014. A Long Confrontation
Russian-U.S. relations seem to have entered a long period of confrontation. Already in 2012-2013 the parties were in a stalemate of utter irritation with each other, and today the interests of both countries’ elites are definitely in a conflict. It is essential that the confrontation does not degenerate into a direct military clash. First, a look at the United States. Having won a seeming victory in the Cold War and almost implemented the Pax Americana dream embodied this...

28.07.2014. How to avoid second Afganistan.
The Malaysian Boeing crash in Ukraine – a predictable “black swan” regardless of which conflicting party downed the plane – can further worsen the international political crisis around Ukraine, yet it can also act as a spur to a way out. At this point I can see no easy solution. The reasons are many. The level of mutual mistrust in Russia and the West is going off-scale. Ukraine, ruled and torn to pieces by groups of tycoons, was made into a country of...

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