Publications

26.02.2014. Giving Russia Back Its Future
The crucial mistake is the lack of public and government attention to man as the principal subject and object of development. Over the past several years, Russia has been in a state of economic and, most importantly, moral and intellectual stagnation that may develop into degradation. As the world economy slows down, international competition becomes increasingly systemically fierce and broad. The main competition in the future will center around economic, technological, ideological...

07.02.2014. Toward the Great Ocean 2
This publication is a follow-up of the report Toward the Great Ocean, or the New Globalization of Russia, published by the Valdai Discussion Club in July 2012 and is based on the conclusions drawn in that report. This paper also widely uses the material contributed by a group of authors (headed by Vladimir Ryzhkov and Rostislav Turovsky) of Russia Is a Country of Regions section of the CFDP project Strategy XXI.

28.01.2014. Turning East?
For more than five years, we, together with some colleagues from the Russian expert community, have been actively advocating a turn of the Russian economy towards the Pacific. Our calls are based on two facts, of which one is obvious and the other not so. The obvious fact is that since the 1990s the center of the world economy has been rapidly shifting to the Pacific region. The less obvious fact, which is still not fully realized, is that Russia has several competitive advantages that...

25.12.2013. A Lop-Sided Power
 Even the Smartest Diplomacy Has Its Limits Resume The main reserves for Russia’s foreign policy and its influence in the next decade lie more than ever in internal development. And this is also where the main threats are, fraught with the risk of losing political weight in the international arena and the status of great power. Several decades ago, Germany’s sharp-tongued ex-Chancellor Helmut Schmidt called the Soviet Union...

12.11.2013. Europe, Russia and the Battle for Ukraine
The Russian idea of a Union of Europe, from Brest in France to Vladivostok on Russia’s Pacific coast, is in the interests of all sides. As I write this article, it is still unclear if the Ukrainian authorities will pardon Yulia Tymoshenko in order to clear the path to signing the Association Agreement with the EU, which includes the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area, at the EU Eastern Partnerships Summit in Vilnius, Lithuania in late November. Any number of things could...

28.08.2013. A Doomed "Reset"
The now-on-now-off relations between Russia and the United States in recent years have resulted the termination of their “reset” policy with President Obama’s decision to cancel the planned face-to-face summit with President Putin, which was to be held during a G20 meeting in Russia. Analysts have offered many explanations for this decision. Most of them are correct. Let me list some of them below, and then give my own reasons for it, which I think are more...

19.08.2013. Why do we need national identity?
  During a discussion held last year at the 20 th Assembly of the Council for Foreign and Defense Policy, some Russian participants emphasized the need for its members to start a work to define Russia’s identity. Many council members, who rightly consider themselves an enlightened part of the Russian elite, thought this was a corny idea. Until recently only the most primitive and conservative Russian intellectuals were engaged in the search for a national...

10.04.2013. The Map of the World: Geopolitics Stages a Comeback
Geopolitics as a theory has been almost an outcast for nearly half a century. In Soviet Union it was blacklisted as bourgeois, while in the West it was dismissed as politically incorrect and remained a hobby of provincial university professors, who had no chances of entering the official establishment. In new Russia, the liberal group of political scientists preferred to follow in the footsteps of Western political correctness, while the anti-liberal part – the Eurasians –...

03.04.2013. Foreign Policy 2012: Russia Has Been Lucky Until Now
//Chapter in the Annual Report of the French-Russian Analytical Center Observo

26.03.2013. A ruthless fight for Europe?
EU leaders purposely crushed the Cypriot banking system so as to frighten other debtors Just to get this straight, I don’t have any secret information on the real reason for the Eurogroup’s sudden ultimatum to Cyprus on taxing deposits, that is, to expropriate them partially in exchange for European loans, without which the banking system would collapse. The banking system, in fact, together with the leisure industry, forms Cyprus’ economy. That said, I have my own...

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