Publications

22.07.2011. Look East, Russia
  Over the past 18 months, Russia’s relations with Asia have begun to improve. Both President Dmitri Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin have repeatedly pointed to the need for an economic turn to Asia. Dozens of protocols and agreements on new projects have been signed with China. Some are already up and running. Nevertheless, Russia has yet to devise a long-term and comprehensive Asian strategy. The main force holding Russia back is, to put it bluntly,...

30.06.2011. Russia’s Asian Strategy
For some Russians economic movement towards Asia spells deviation from the European way of development and closer relations with Europe. For the past four years or so, in all sorts of analytical reports and speeches I have been criticizing Russian policy in Asia for the lack of initiative for linking this country to the Asian economic locomotive. In the meantime, the United States, Latin America and – in many respects – Europe have attached themselves to this engine quite...

27.05.2011. "Window of Opportunity"
Article by Sergey Karaganov, dean of the Faculty of World Economics and Politics at the National Research University-Higher School of Economics: "Standing Still in Front of a 'Window of Opportunity'" By the Spring, Russian-American relations had reached a frontier. They had normalized. The Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty had been signed. The grand presidential commission with its proliferating subcommissions had started work. They are generating a positive momentum:...

27.04.2011. MAD No More?
MOSCOW – Two years ago this month in Prague, US President Barack Obama put forward his visionary idea of the world free of nuclear weapons. A year ago, a new strategic arms treaty between Russia and the US was signed in the same city. Now the worldwide wave of support for a full ban on nuclear weapons, or “nuclear zero,” is being transformed into a debate about nuclear deterrence. Indeed, the four American strategists who first called for “nuclear zero”...

12.04.2011. On the Perpetuation of the Memory of the Victims of the Totalitarian Regime and on National Reconciliation
This is the name of a project prepared by the Historical Memory Working Group at the Presidential Council on Civil Society and Human Rights. The documents have been submitted to the President and are now being studied. The texts are available at the websites of Rossiiskaya Gazeta ( www.rg.ru ). Those, who want to contribute their comments, please, send to the www.rg.ru . The program was prepared and is being further developed by...

06.04.2011. Should We Overcome Deterrence?
The wave around the idea of the “nuclear zero”, has not calmed down yet. The idea from my point of view was not only unrealistic, but out right dangerous. Now a new wave of discussions is building up. About the necessity of overcoming “deterrence”. The four great American strategists, which previously called for “nuclear zero”, than partially back tracked from the idea and called for strengthening U.S. strategic forces – former state...

23.03.2011. Russland auf der Suche
Das Ende der Sowjetherrschaft: War es, wie Putin sagt, eines der großen geopolitischen Desaster des 20. Jahrhunderts? Oder war es das Ende von 70 Jahren Kulturzerstörung und Bürgerkrieg? Das Bild der Vergangenheit ist umstritten, immer aber Projektionsfläche der russischen Zukunft. Dieser Tage kam eine E-Mail aus Moskau von einem Freund, Sergej Karaganow, Dekan an der renommierten Diplomatenschule. Der Großvater wurde in Stalins Gulag erschossen, der Vater...

14.03.2011. Lucky Russia
Despite all the weaknesses of its development model, this country is viewed as a rising economy, with a prospect of becoming an economic power in the future.   The wave of riots and revolutions that has swept the Greater Middle East has again boosted oil prices for long. My reaction was, “Gosh, my country is lucky again!” And I decided to write a serious piece about this almost unprecedented phenomenon in the history of Russia over the last 100 years. This...

01.02.2011. An iron fist to keep NATO expansion at bay
NATO can survive for a fairly long time in its present condition because it is to the benefit of its participants, especially the Europeans. Being members of the Alliance means they don’t have to do anything, they are free to spend nothing on defense and able to pretend that they are sitting pretty. In reality, Europe is becoming a defenseless continent. If for the Europeans NATO means they get to keep the United States as an ally, it is becoming less of an asset for Washington....

29.11.2010. NATO’s Emphasis on Russia
Preserving the political union of the West is becoming the main function of NATO.   As a man who has been watching NATO’s evolution for several decades now, I feel profoundly, although not completely, satisfied with the Alliance’s latest summit in Lisbon. In this small article, I will not try to embrace the unembraceable and analyze everything that happened at the NATO session. I will only focus on what is the most interesting to me. The session adopted...

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