Publications

11.09.2012. Russia in the World of Ideas and Images
Persistent downgrading of a country eventually produces a persistent image of a loser nation among its citizens – with the ensuing costs paid by future generations. It is quite obvious now that Russia will have – by virtue of destiny or plight – to act as an independent center of power in the coming years. Russia’s strategic solitude (hopefully, shared with its friends in the Eurasian Union), which will last ten or so years in the least, requires making an...

13.07.2012. Europe: Good News
The European Union is adapting to a new reality – slowly but surely   I will not mislead the reader: this article is not bringing any news about the Greek debt crisis settlement or preventing such in Spain, Portugal, Ireland or Italy. Nor does it address the establishment of a single political governance of the eurozone’s economy and finance, whose absence made the single currency predictably ineffective. Part of the countries could use its...

18.06.2012. Echo of an Impending War
The macro changes in the world economy and politics, developments in the Greater Middle East, and actions (or inaction) by old great powers make further plunging of the region into conflicts almost inevitable. I am a bit surprised that the press keeps ignoring the growing probability of a big war, or a series of wars, in the Middle East. Observers and analysts, following in the footsteps of the Western mass media from which they primarily get their information, discuss one crisis...

17.05.2012. Russia Needs One More Capital – in Siberia
If Peter the Great lived now, he would surely build the capital not in the Baltic region, but at the Pacific Ocean. For over a year, a serious discussion about Russia’s future was drowned in the election debates. Now that the election season, unusually long and intensive, is over, it would be appropriate to address strategic issues again. In one of them I have been keenly interested for 15 years and I have closely studied it for four. The issue surfaced rather...

27.03.2012. Convergence the Other Way Round
Everything in the world is changing. The fantastically fast – by historical standards – redistribution of forces is especially evident. The old geopolitics is coming back surprisingly quickly. This is coupled with the rejection of centuries-old rules and political morality which made international relations predictable at least to some extent. Sovereignty and territorial integrity are no longer respected, along with loyalty to one’s word and allies. All this is...

07.03.2012. The Age of Authoritarian Democracy
MOSCOW – The world is currently being shaken by tectonic changes almost too numerous to count: the ongoing economic crisis is accelerating the degradation of international governance and supranational institutions, and both are occurring alongside a massive shift of economic and political power to Asia. Less than a quarter-century after Francis Fukuyama declared “the end of history,” we seem to have arrived at the dawn of a new age of social and geopolitical...

02.03.2012. An Unfinished Story
Russian international affairs specialist Dmitry Trenin has published a book, Post-Imperium: A Eurasian Story. It was first published in English and was written for a foreign audience, which I know it has found. The Russian edition will come out soon.  I read the book in English. It was enjoyable and impressed me with its author’s intellectual courage. Trenin has made an elegant attempt to embrace the un-embraceable and achieve the impossible - to explain what happened to...

24.02.2012. Russia's Luck Has Run Out
Russia has been unbelievably lucky in its relations with foreign powers over the past 12 years. The China-driven economic boom in most of Asia triggered a prolonged demand for Russia's main export commodities — oil and gas, raw minerals and foodstuffs. In addition, traditional competitors in the West for global influence have become economically weakened. What's more, China has done everything possible to avoid posing any threat to Russia and often sides with the Kremlin when they...

22.02.2012. Russia Lucky Again?
Russia has been fantastically lucky in its relations with the foreign world in the past ten or twelve years. The new industrial revolution in Asia has triggered a long-term increase in the demand for top items of Russian exports: oil, minerals, power- and water-intensive products, and foodstuffs. Russia’s traditional rivals in the West have weakened. China is trying hard not to antagonize Russia, while keeping it on its side amid the mounting competition with the USA....

28.12.2011. Europe Not Growing Any More
Russia: Results of the year and agenda for tomorrow First, I would like to make a reservation: I will sum up foreign policy results and bring forward my proposals, mostly from the standpoint of foreign policy, which I believe would be advantageous in the next few years. We are now so accustomed to breathtaking changes that they hardly catch our attention. Meanwhile, the outgoing year has delivered several drastic changes in Russia’s international environment.
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15