Publications

27.04.2011. MAD No More?
MOSCOW – Two years ago this month in Prague, US President Barack Obama put forward his visionary idea of the world free of nuclear weapons. A year ago, a new strategic arms treaty between Russia and the US was signed in the same city. Now the worldwide wave of support for a full ban on nuclear weapons, or “nuclear zero,” is being transformed into a debate about nuclear deterrence. Indeed, the four American strategists who first called for “nuclear zero”...

12.04.2011. On the Perpetuation of the Memory of the Victims of the Totalitarian Regime and on National Reconciliation
This is the name of a project prepared by the Historical Memory Working Group at the Presidential Council on Civil Society and Human Rights. The documents have been submitted to the President and are now being studied. The texts are available at the websites of Rossiiskaya Gazeta ( www.rg.ru ). Those, who want to contribute their comments, please, send to the www.rg.ru . The program was prepared and is being further developed by...

06.04.2011. Should We Overcome Deterrence?
The wave around the idea of the “nuclear zero”, has not calmed down yet. The idea from my point of view was not only unrealistic, but out right dangerous. Now a new wave of discussions is building up. About the necessity of overcoming “deterrence”. The four great American strategists, which previously called for “nuclear zero”, than partially back tracked from the idea and called for strengthening U.S. strategic forces – former state...

23.03.2011. Russland auf der Suche
Das Ende der Sowjetherrschaft: War es, wie Putin sagt, eines der großen geopolitischen Desaster des 20. Jahrhunderts? Oder war es das Ende von 70 Jahren Kulturzerstörung und Bürgerkrieg? Das Bild der Vergangenheit ist umstritten, immer aber Projektionsfläche der russischen Zukunft. Dieser Tage kam eine E-Mail aus Moskau von einem Freund, Sergej Karaganow, Dekan an der renommierten Diplomatenschule. Der Großvater wurde in Stalins Gulag erschossen, der Vater...

14.03.2011. Lucky Russia
Despite all the weaknesses of its development model, this country is viewed as a rising economy, with a prospect of becoming an economic power in the future.   The wave of riots and revolutions that has swept the Greater Middle East has again boosted oil prices for long. My reaction was, “Gosh, my country is lucky again!” And I decided to write a serious piece about this almost unprecedented phenomenon in the history of Russia over the last 100 years. This...

01.02.2011. An iron fist to keep NATO expansion at bay
NATO can survive for a fairly long time in its present condition because it is to the benefit of its participants, especially the Europeans. Being members of the Alliance means they don’t have to do anything, they are free to spend nothing on defense and able to pretend that they are sitting pretty. In reality, Europe is becoming a defenseless continent. If for the Europeans NATO means they get to keep the United States as an ally, it is becoming less of an asset for Washington....

29.11.2010. NATO’s Emphasis on Russia
Preserving the political union of the West is becoming the main function of NATO.   As a man who has been watching NATO’s evolution for several decades now, I feel profoundly, although not completely, satisfied with the Alliance’s latest summit in Lisbon. In this small article, I will not try to embrace the unembraceable and analyze everything that happened at the NATO session. I will only focus on what is the most interesting to me. The session adopted...

08.10.2010. After the Reset
A New Agenda for Russian-U.S. relations Russian-U.S. relations have been on a six-month-long honeymoon since last spring’s “wedding.” The “reset” has worked. But more difficult times are ahead. The Republicans have gone on the offensive against Barack Obama, determined to derail the ratification of the START treaty. What makes things still worse is the structural weakness of the current model of relations. By and large that model is tooled up for...

02.09.2010. Odd Man In
To be a global player, a united Europe must include Russia Russia and the E.U. must set the long-term goal of creating a Union of Europe, which would also include countries like Turkey, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan. If Europe does not unite, the United States and China will dominate the world order. A geostrategic triangle between the United States, China, and a truly united Europe would benefit everyone. Russia and Europe have missed two critical chances for rapprochement. The...

23.07.2010. A Russian Katyn
Several developments and events of recent time make me raise, before myself and readers, the issue of one of the main roots of our problems – our inability to overcome the legacy of the horrible-for-Russia 20th century. In May, we celebrated yet another anniversary of the Great Victory, perhaps the only episode of the last century that this country and its people can be absolutely proud of. On the eve of the celebrations, Moscow was involved in a strange discussion as to whether...

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