Publications

Publications

Publications

The Russian elite have realized that the country will have to live in a new reality that differs from the past rosy dreams of integration with the West, while preserving its independence and sovereignty. Yet they have not yet used the confrontation and the growth of patriotism for an economic revival.
The Eurasian Promise China’s Westward Turn to Benefit Russia The latest meetings of the CIS heads of state and the Supreme Eurasian Economic Council, held in Astana on October 16-17, irradiated plans to link the Eurasian Economic Union with the Silk Road Economic Belt and with efforts to develop cooperation in Central Asia, including in the military-political field.
MOSCOW – More than 18 months after former President Viktor Yanukovych was driven from power (and into exile), the crisis in Ukraine is at a stalemate. Crimea has been reabsorbed by Russia (in what many consider an annexation); much of eastern Ukraine is held by pro-Russia rebels; and relations between the West and Russia are more tense than at any time.
The current crisis in Russia-West relations is commonly blamed on Russia’s actions in Crimea, Donbass and Ukraine in general. But its roots go much deeper. And it may have much more serious consequences in the long term. The situation may not only evolve into a full-blown armed clash, the probability of which I hope is declining, political confrontation or truncated economic ties.
The year 2015 is a year of many jubilees – 70 years since the Great Victory and the end of the Second World War; 25 years since the fall of the Berlin Wall and the subsequent unification of Germany; and 40 years since the signing of the Helsinki Final Act and the subsequent creation of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe.
I have already written before that having emerged from the Cold War, Europe lost the post-war peace. The continent is on the verge of strategic degradation that may either become a caricature of military-political division into opposing blocs or a time of disquieting uncertainty. The military-political conflict over Ukraine can escalate as well.
The victory of Donald Trump reinforced international tendencies, which had been obvious for Russians and which had been guiding Russian behavior for last few years. Among them – deglobalization led by forces, which previously created it, but started to retreat from it, when they saw that it benefits others equally or more.
There is an increasingly strong feeling of déjà vu as some of Russia’s Western partners are trying to replay the scenario of the late 1970s and early 1980s when the deployment of Soviet SS-20 medium-range missiles and American Pershing and land-based cruise missiles in Europe triggered a long military-political crisis.
Russian Foreign Policy AchievementsRussia’s foreign policy in the past decade was successful by and large and quite masterful at times. It largely matched the world challenges. A stagnant economy was the weak link. Foreign policy has compensated for that weakness so far. But this resource is now close to exhaustion.

News

‘Europe is a half-dead body’ – Timofey Bordachev. ‘We don’t need an inch of EU land’ – Sergey Karaganov
The interview with Sergei Karaganov by Diana Panchenko “In a Year, Russia Will Strike the EU – A Big Interview with Karaganov” was published
The new interview with Sergei Karaganov and John Mearsheimer by Glenn Diesen: “Nuclear strike on Europe to restore deterrence” was published
Report “A Renewed BRICS for a Polycentric World: From Global Chaos to Orderly Multipolarity” is published
Karaganov: “La démocratie élective est une voie directe vers la domination de la ploutocratie”
Materials for the plenary session “Russia’s Transport Policy in the New Geopolitical and Geoeconomic Realities”

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