Publications
29.03.2018. The West’s Unilateral Cold WarThe problem between Russia and the West is really a problem among Westerners themselves. If there is a new cold war, it is only because established elites have not come to terms with reality: the balance of military, political, economic, and moral power has shifted too far away from the West to be reversed. Rising tensions between the United Kingdom and Russia are but further proof that Russia and the West, according...
15.03.2018. Preemptive Deterrence
Relations between the two nuclear superpowers—Russia and the United States—are worse than ever since the 1950s and the Cuban Missile Crisis
A World in Store
For over a decade, most of the world’s international systems inherited from the past have been falling into decay. It will take several more decades to get the existing world order replaced with a new one. Russia has good chances to influence its formation. Another priority task is to prevent a new big war, which becomes highly probable. The pivot towards Asia must be continued and the Greater Eurasia comprehensive partnership concept should be filled with substance. No...
22.10.2017. A Cold War: A Forecast for Tomorrow
Nuclear deterrence is the only reason why the world did not plunge into a nuclear conflict during the Cold War and is not sliding down that path now as we are living through a new Cold War which is even worse than the previous one. This view was stated at the Valdai Club by Sergei Karaganov, Dean of the School of World Economics and...
08.09.2017. The Future World Order
It becomes increasingly difficult for the West to impose its political systems and cultural and human values. A few days ago I spoke at a seminar attended by renowned and unorthodox scholars from Russia and the West. The topic of my presentation was “What Will There Be after the ‘Liberal Global Order?’” I think...
11.04.2017. Taking a New Look at Nuclear Peace
A new Concert of Nations could be more stable than the previous one if it is based not only on moral principles and the balance of power, but also on mutual nuclear deterrence. Key points at first. Nuclear weapons, if they are ever to be used, are unspeakable evil, but their existence saved the world during the Cold War and is saving...
09.03.2017. The Victory of Russia and the New Concert of Nations
Over the past several years and especially since 2016 an answer to this question the question “who rules the world?”, a Russian who has been reading the international, and particularly Western, press on a daily basis, has been clear enough: of course, Putin and Russia which he leads. It is Putin who is undermining the world order which was established in the 1990s. Western mainstream media keeps harping on about Putin plotting to direct hordes of...
01.03.2017. Mutual assured deterrence
MOSCOW – The degradation of governance within the international system is a hot topic nowadays – and for good reason. The underpinnings of the rules-based world order are crumbling, and basic norms of international behavior and decency are in decay. By almost any definition, we seem to be living in a dangerous – even prewar – type of world. Relations between Russia and the European Union, and with the EU’s close ally the United States, are increasingly...
08.02.2017. 2016 – A Victory of Conservative Realism
Russia Won, Because It Was Resolved to Win More than three years later, the tide has turned. There are still many dangers ahead; the economic base is still weak; and reforms, the fight against corruption, and the change of elites are proceeding too slowly. But in...
02.02.2017. A view from Moscow
The victory of Donald Trump reinforced international tendencies, which had been obvious for Russians and which had been guiding Russian behavior for last few years. Among them – deglobalization led by forces, which previously created it, but started to retreat from it, when they saw that it benefits others equally or more. The change in correlation of forces against the old world and towards Asia will continue, though at somewhat slower pace than in previous decades. China will...
For over a decade, most of the world’s international systems inherited from the past have been falling into decay. It will take several more decades to get the existing world order replaced with a new one. Russia has good chances to influence its formation. Another priority task is to prevent a new big war, which becomes highly probable. The pivot towards Asia must be continued and the Greater Eurasia comprehensive partnership concept should be filled with substance. No...
22.10.2017. A Cold War: A Forecast for Tomorrow
Nuclear deterrence is the only reason why the world did not plunge into a nuclear conflict during the Cold War and is not sliding down that path now as we are living through a new Cold War which is even worse than the previous one. This view was stated at the Valdai Club by Sergei Karaganov, Dean of the School of World Economics and...
08.09.2017. The Future World Order
It becomes increasingly difficult for the West to impose its political systems and cultural and human values. A few days ago I spoke at a seminar attended by renowned and unorthodox scholars from Russia and the West. The topic of my presentation was “What Will There Be after the ‘Liberal Global Order?’” I think...
11.04.2017. Taking a New Look at Nuclear Peace
A new Concert of Nations could be more stable than the previous one if it is based not only on moral principles and the balance of power, but also on mutual nuclear deterrence. Key points at first. Nuclear weapons, if they are ever to be used, are unspeakable evil, but their existence saved the world during the Cold War and is saving...
09.03.2017. The Victory of Russia and the New Concert of Nations
Over the past several years and especially since 2016 an answer to this question the question “who rules the world?”, a Russian who has been reading the international, and particularly Western, press on a daily basis, has been clear enough: of course, Putin and Russia which he leads. It is Putin who is undermining the world order which was established in the 1990s. Western mainstream media keeps harping on about Putin plotting to direct hordes of...
01.03.2017. Mutual assured deterrence
MOSCOW – The degradation of governance within the international system is a hot topic nowadays – and for good reason. The underpinnings of the rules-based world order are crumbling, and basic norms of international behavior and decency are in decay. By almost any definition, we seem to be living in a dangerous – even prewar – type of world. Relations between Russia and the European Union, and with the EU’s close ally the United States, are increasingly...
08.02.2017. 2016 – A Victory of Conservative Realism
Russia Won, Because It Was Resolved to Win More than three years later, the tide has turned. There are still many dangers ahead; the economic base is still weak; and reforms, the fight against corruption, and the change of elites are proceeding too slowly. But in...
02.02.2017. A view from Moscow
The victory of Donald Trump reinforced international tendencies, which had been obvious for Russians and which had been guiding Russian behavior for last few years. Among them – deglobalization led by forces, which previously created it, but started to retreat from it, when they saw that it benefits others equally or more. The change in correlation of forces against the old world and towards Asia will continue, though at somewhat slower pace than in previous decades. China will...