Publications

15.09.2014. Western delusions triggered this conflict and Russians will not yield
The west is without direction and losing sight of moral convictions, writes Sergey Karaganov The Soviet Union’s sunset years hardly felt like an innocent age to those who lived through them, but to recall the hopes and aspirations of that era is to rue the naiveties of those days. “A common European house” was how President Mikhail Gorbachev pictured the continent’s future; “a Europe whole and free”, in the words of George HW Bush, his...

04.09.2014. A Long Confrontation
Russian-U.S. relations seem to have entered a long period of confrontation. Already in 2012-2013 the parties were in a stalemate of utter irritation with each other, and today the interests of both countries’ elites are definitely in a conflict. It is essential that the confrontation does not degenerate into a direct military clash. First, a look at the United States. Having won a seeming victory in the Cold War and almost implemented the Pax Americana dream embodied this...

28.07.2014. How to avoid second Afganistan.
The Malaysian Boeing crash in Ukraine – a predictable “black swan” regardless of which conflicting party downed the plane – can further worsen the international political crisis around Ukraine, yet it can also act as a spur to a way out. At this point I can see no easy solution. The reasons are many. The level of mutual mistrust in Russia and the West is going off-scale. Ukraine, ruled and torn to pieces by groups of tycoons, was made into a country of...

25.06.2014. A One-Sided Power


07.06.2014. Europe and Russia: Preventing a New Cold War
Resume Russia has given up hope for joining the West in the foreseeable future. But it has not yet made a choice in favor of anti-West, let alone, anti-Europeanism. Debates over the ongoing crisis in relations between Russia and the West revolve around the incorporation of Crimea, the global reaction to that move, and the future configuration of the Ukrainian state if, of course, it manages to survive (and I hope it will). But I contend that these are not the primary issues in...

08.04.2014. Time to End the Cold War in Europe
The rupture in relations between Russia and the West is discussed as if Crimea’s accession, Ukraine’s future and sanctions are the core problem. I would argue that these issues, while important, are ultimately secondary. The true cause is Moscow’s determination to change the rules that the West has imposed on it for the last 25 years. As Russia is unable and, in fact, unwilling to fit the western mold it no longer seeks to become part of the West. By virtue of its...

05.03.2014. Russia needs to defend its interests with an iron fist
The Ukraine crisis has exposed the failure of post-cold war policies The disintegration of the Soviet Union was not viewed as a defeat by the Russian people, but the west treats Russia as a defeated nation all the same. President Vladimir Putin has been trying to bring together most of the countries of the former Soviet Union in an economic alliance. This would have strengthened the region’s economic competitiveness and helped ward off the kind of instability that...

28.02.2014. Enlightened Conservatism Strategy
The man, the Russian must make the central point of Russia’s development, perhaps for the first time in its history. There is a way to break the deadlock. Of course, a reasonable economic and fiscal policy is a must, as is the improvement of investment climate and measures to stimulate competition, economic growth, etc. Yet no one, even the authorities, will invest in a state that has not regained its identity, if it is not based on the law and is not keen to have the law;...

26.02.2014. Giving Russia Back Its Future
The crucial mistake is the lack of public and government attention to man as the principal subject and object of development. Over the past several years, Russia has been in a state of economic and, most importantly, moral and intellectual stagnation that may develop into degradation. As the world economy slows down, international competition becomes increasingly systemically fierce and broad. The main competition in the future will center around economic, technological, ideological...

28.01.2014. Turning East?
For more than five years, we, together with some colleagues from the Russian expert community, have been actively advocating a turn of the Russian economy towards the Pacific. Our calls are based on two facts, of which one is obvious and the other not so. The obvious fact is that since the 1990s the center of the world economy has been rapidly shifting to the Pacific region. The less obvious fact, which is still not fully realized, is that Russia has several competitive advantages that...

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