Publications

25.06.2014. A One-Sided Power


07.06.2014. Europe and Russia: Preventing a New Cold War
Resume Russia has given up hope for joining the West in the foreseeable future. But it has not yet made a choice in favor of anti-West, let alone, anti-Europeanism. Debates over the ongoing crisis in relations between Russia and the West revolve around the incorporation of Crimea, the global reaction to that move, and the future configuration of the Ukrainian state if, of course, it manages to survive (and I hope it will). But I contend that these are not the primary issues in...

08.04.2014. Time to End the Cold War in Europe
The rupture in relations between Russia and the West is discussed as if Crimea’s accession, Ukraine’s future and sanctions are the core problem. I would argue that these issues, while important, are ultimately secondary. The true cause is Moscow’s determination to change the rules that the West has imposed on it for the last 25 years. As Russia is unable and, in fact, unwilling to fit the western mold it no longer seeks to become part of the West. By virtue of its...

05.03.2014. Russia needs to defend its interests with an iron fist
The Ukraine crisis has exposed the failure of post-cold war policies The disintegration of the Soviet Union was not viewed as a defeat by the Russian people, but the west treats Russia as a defeated nation all the same. President Vladimir Putin has been trying to bring together most of the countries of the former Soviet Union in an economic alliance. This would have strengthened the region’s economic competitiveness and helped ward off the kind of instability that...

28.02.2014. Enlightened Conservatism Strategy
The man, the Russian must make the central point of Russia’s development, perhaps for the first time in its history. There is a way to break the deadlock. Of course, a reasonable economic and fiscal policy is a must, as is the improvement of investment climate and measures to stimulate competition, economic growth, etc. Yet no one, even the authorities, will invest in a state that has not regained its identity, if it is not based on the law and is not keen to have the law;...

26.02.2014. Giving Russia Back Its Future
The crucial mistake is the lack of public and government attention to man as the principal subject and object of development. Over the past several years, Russia has been in a state of economic and, most importantly, moral and intellectual stagnation that may develop into degradation. As the world economy slows down, international competition becomes increasingly systemically fierce and broad. The main competition in the future will center around economic, technological, ideological...

28.01.2014. Turning East?
For more than five years, we, together with some colleagues from the Russian expert community, have been actively advocating a turn of the Russian economy towards the Pacific. Our calls are based on two facts, of which one is obvious and the other not so. The obvious fact is that since the 1990s the center of the world economy has been rapidly shifting to the Pacific region. The less obvious fact, which is still not fully realized, is that Russia has several competitive advantages that...

25.12.2013. A Lop-Sided Power
 Even the Smartest Diplomacy Has Its Limits Resume The main reserves for Russia’s foreign policy and its influence in the next decade lie more than ever in internal development. And this is also where the main threats are, fraught with the risk of losing political weight in the international arena and the status of great power. Several decades ago, Germany’s sharp-tongued ex-Chancellor Helmut Schmidt called the Soviet Union...

12.11.2013. Europe, Russia and the Battle for Ukraine
The Russian idea of a Union of Europe, from Brest in France to Vladivostok on Russia’s Pacific coast, is in the interests of all sides. As I write this article, it is still unclear if the Ukrainian authorities will pardon Yulia Tymoshenko in order to clear the path to signing the Association Agreement with the EU, which includes the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area, at the EU Eastern Partnerships Summit in Vilnius, Lithuania in late November. Any number of things could...

28.08.2013. A Doomed "Reset"
The now-on-now-off relations between Russia and the United States in recent years have resulted the termination of their “reset” policy with President Obama’s decision to cancel the planned face-to-face summit with President Putin, which was to be held during a G20 meeting in Russia. Analysts have offered many explanations for this decision. Most of them are correct. Let me list some of them below, and then give my own reasons for it, which I think are more...

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